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The Kaine Mutiny - Blather. Rants. Repeat.
A Møøse once bit my sister ...
The Kaine Mutiny
It's less than a week until the real Election Day, and the past week's revelations of hanky-panky, confirmed by the CIA and angrily denounced as "fake news" by He, Drumpf, only make that day more significant.  I tossed out some ideas a few weeks ago about how this runaway train of stupid might be stopped.

Forget them.  I do not now see any scenario where Hillary Clinton becomes President, either by changing actual electoral vote totals or by persuading enough electors to go "faithless" and cast their ballots for her.  Her brand is just too tainted, the pushback would be deadly, and we'd likely be in the throes of Civil War II within a month.

But can we keep the Repugnicans out of power?  That takes considerably less effort at turning electors, and in my estimation is the only even marginally feasible way out.

But that would just throw the election into the House, comes the inevitable objection. Worse, the way the 12th Amendment works, what it's thrown to is not a majority vote of the 435 voting members (still majority Republican) but a majority vote of the 50 state delegations of House members. As of the new class about to be sworn in on January 3rd, at least 31 of those 50 delegations will be made up of majorities wearing red- so what's the point?

Stay with me here. Mind, this is about as implausible as the Buffalo Bills' still Mostly Dead chances of making the playoffs, but hey: New England ticked off the first needed result last night (despite almost blowing a 20-point lead at the end), so if it's still possible, so is this.

There's a sneaky little point in that amendment that offers A Way Out; see if you can spot it.

[I]f no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice. And if the House of Representatives shall not choose a President whenever the right of choice shall devolve upon them, before the fourth day of March next following, then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President.

Follow the math.   All the country needs to save itself is for Donald J. Pussygrabber to receive 269 or fewer electoral votes on December 19th.  Electors can switch to Clinton, although they need not. They can abstain.  They can vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Evan McMullin or Mickey Fucking Mouse. It won't matter IF, two weeks later, enough of the members of the newly-constituted 115th Congress's House of Representatives do what so many of their predecessors have done, especially in the past eight years:



January 3rd comes. Note the quorum requirement.  No President gets elected by that body unless there are representatives of at least two-thirds of the fifty states, which is 34 of them.  Note also, though: the entire state delegation has to be absent. So even though New York's House delegation is overwhelmingly blue, all it would take is one true Drumpf believer to show up (and, sadly, his first Congressional concubine is from one town over from us) and he alone would be enough to count toward New York's answer to the quorum call.

So this would take work. Lots of it.  There are seven states with all-Dem House delegations: CT, DE, HI, MA, NH, RI & VT.   If they unanimously fail to show up, that gets us almost halfway to blocking the vote.  Now we look to the delegations with only one Republican: AK (their only one), ME, MD, MT (also their only one), NV, NV and OR. (I leave out Wyoming because Liz Cheney is their sole rep and she would likely sell her soul to the Blood Orange if only she had one.)  Another seven.  Minnesota has three R's among their delegates, but Minnesotans are a proud, independent lot, you betcha, and I wouldn't underestimate how hostile the good folks back at Lake Trumpbegon might be if they blocked the will of their state's electoral voting.

One to go. Now we need a heavy lift, the equivalent of the Bills needing Miami and New England to play to a tie in Week 17.  New Jersey is majority D but has five R's. We'd need all five to be pissed off enough, or sufficiently otherwise motivated, to stay away from the House floor. Maybe Drumpf's shunning of Chris Christie would be enough to do it. Maybe he'd be pissed off enough to close lanes near their hometown Turnpike exits if they didn't cooperate.

The other last best chance? Virginia: the birthplace of Presidents. And why would its seven Republican representatives go along with such treason? Because, in this case, if all their Representatvies joined the quorum boycott, the Old Dominion state would once again open its virginia and pound out another one.


The 12th Amendment continues:

The person having the greatest number of votes as Vice-President, shall be the Vice-President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of electors appointed, and if no person have a majority, then from the two highest numbers on the list, the Senate shall choose the Vice-President; a quorum for the purpose shall consist of two-thirds of the whole number of Senators, and a majority of the whole number shall be necessary to a choice.

Here, we run different numbers if Pence is denied his 270 electoral votes.  The Senate will, and can, and should, convene on January 3rd to decide between him and Tim Kaine (remember, only the top two finishers in the December 19th real vote are eligible).

After last week's runoff in Louisiana, that count stands at 52 Rs to 48 Ds,  But among those 52 are at least two Senators who have expressed monumental anger at their party's putative (or should I say Putin-ative) leader: Lindsay Graham and John McCain.  Both were personally insulted by the Putin-elect, during the campaign and since. All it would take is their joining with their 48 Democratic counterparts to create a 50-50 tie in the selection of the veep.

And guess who breaks that tie if it occurs before January 20th?

So try it out- hell, I didn't even speak it aloud until today: President Tim.  They just have to hold out the House until March the 4th and it's permanent.

How enchanting.
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angledge From: angledge Date: December 14th, 2016 05:51 pm (UTC) (Link)
This is as likely as a Bills-Eagles Super Bowl, but the math was entertaining.
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